000010474 001__ 10474
000010474 005__ 20141205155731.0
000010474 04107 $$aeng
000010474 046__ $$k2008-10-12
000010474 100__ $$aKaufmann, Christian
000010474 24500 $$aModular System for Seismic Risk Analysis Considering Uncertainties of Basic Input Parameters

000010474 24630 $$n14.$$pProceedings of the 14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
000010474 260__ $$b
000010474 506__ $$arestricted
000010474 520__ $$2eng$$aFor the study area of Central Europe, an intensity-oriented damage and loss prediction model is developed and being adapted to regional seismic risk. The procedures implemented in the model are structured in a modular system, and therefore in a transparent way. The paper refers to the modification of the tools of risk analysis to account for the uncertainties and the scatter of basic input parameters. Results are presented for the strongest earthquake in Central Europe over the last 50 years, the September 03, 1978 Albstadt (Germany) earthquake (ML = 5.7; IEMS = 7.5). The evaluation of the existing building stock and its vulnerability is considered in more detail. The identification of the predominant building types, the assignment of their most likely or probable vulnerability classes and the formulation of correlations between these classes and the distribution of damage grades are regarded as the innovative key elements of the whole intensity-based procedure. Damage scenarios are related to the recent earthquake comparing the hypothetically predicted and the observed shaking effect. Damage is given in terms of fractiles replacing the commonly used mean damage grade.

000010474 540__ $$aText je chráněný podle autorského zákona č. 121/2000 Sb.
000010474 653__ $$arisk, intensity, vulnerability, damage and loss assessment, uncertainty

000010474 7112_ $$a14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering$$cBejing (CN)$$d2008-10-12 / 2008-10-17$$gWCEE15
000010474 720__ $$aKaufmann, Christian$$iSchwarz, Jochen
000010474 8560_ $$ffischerc@itam.cas.cz
000010474 8564_ $$s1917280$$uhttps://invenio.itam.cas.cz/record/10474/files/S01-02-024.pdf$$yOriginal version of the author's contribution as presented on CD, Paper ID: S01-02-024.
000010474 962__ $$r9324
000010474 980__ $$aPAPER