000011715 001__ 11715
000011715 005__ 20141205155939.0
000011715 04107 $$aeng
000011715 046__ $$k2008-10-12
000011715 100__ $$aSousa, M. Luísa
000011715 24500 $$aAnnualized Economic and Human Earthquake Losses for Mainland Portugal

000011715 24630 $$n14.$$pProceedings of the 14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
000011715 260__ $$b
000011715 506__ $$arestricted
000011715 520__ $$2eng$$aLoss seismic scenarios are important tools for civil protection emergency planning. However, effective risk mitigation strategies should not be restricted to the evaluation of a single scenario event based on probabilistic or deterministic analysis. In practice, any future event will produce significant different effects from the assumed scenario. The aim of this paper is to give a hint on the order of magnitude of the risk associated to annual seismic losses in Portuguese Continental regions. The proposed solution is to evaluate statistical central value measures to describe seismic losses. In concrete, annualized risks will be averaged over a large period of time and two single parameters (see Results and Application) are chosen to quantify social and economic impacts due to earthquakes. The results are presented in terms of average annual economic and human losses, due to earthquakes, for the 278 Portuguese Continental counties. Portuguese main provinces are ranked according to those parameters. The dependence of average annual seismic risk on predictive variables, like hazard and vulnerability, is analyzed in detail. The geographic distribution of the annualized losses leads to the conclusion that the Metropolitan Area of Lisbon (MAL) is the Portuguese region with higher losses, due to its high exposure combined with moderate hazard, whereas Algarve is the region with higher specific human losses, due to its significant seismic hazard.

000011715 540__ $$aText je chráněný podle autorského zákona č. 121/2000 Sb.
000011715 653__ $$aEconomic losses, expected annualized earthquake losses, human losses, Portugal, seismic hazard, seismic risk

000011715 7112_ $$a14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering$$cBejing (CN)$$d2008-10-12 / 2008-10-17$$gWCEE15
000011715 720__ $$aSousa, M. Luísa
000011715 8560_ $$ffischerc@itam.cas.cz
000011715 8564_ $$s993593$$uhttps://invenio.itam.cas.cz/record/11715/files/10-0054.pdf$$yOriginal version of the author's contribution as presented on CD, Paper ID: 10-0054.
000011715 962__ $$r9324
000011715 980__ $$aPAPER