Early Warning System: the Industrial Complex of Sines, Portugal

Abstract eng:
In recent works the Disruption index (DI) applied to the urban tissue was developed as a tool to measure earthquake cascade effects. This indicator can be extrapolated to analyze industrial disruptions caused by the interaction among the various industrial stakeholders acting in a region. The disruption or destruction of a single infrastructural component can rapidly evolve into damage to the surrounding components, in a cascading effect with consequences in health, safety, security, economic or social well-being of people. During EU REAKT project, the DI methodology was applied to the Sines industrial complex. In Sines, raw materials, suppliers, packaging, and shipping services are located in the same region damaged by a certain earthquake. Thus, the operation of modern industrial societies is highly interdependent and the success of a region in carrying out business and industrial operations can be rapidly eroded by the failure of a few key services or lifelines. A review of the relevant literature and the contact with the Sines stakeholders enabled to draw the industrial disruption index, identifying the main infrastructures that influence the global impact in an industrial complex

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