000004477 001__ 4477
000004477 005__ 20141118192658.0
000004477 0177_ $$2doi$$a10.3850/978-981-07-2219-7_P112

000004477 0247_ $$210.3850/978-981-07-2219-7_P112
$$adoi
000004477 04107 $$aeng
000004477 046__ $$k2012-05-23
000004477 100__ $$aWang, Jui-Pin
000004477 24500 $$aCritical Seismic Hazard Assessment by Monte Carlo Simulation

000004477 24630 $$n5.$$pProceedings of the 5th Asian-Pacific Symposium on Structural Reliability and its Applications
000004477 260__ $$bResearch Publishing, No:83 Genting Lane, #08-01, Genting Building, 349568 SINGAPORE
000004477 506__ $$arestricted
000004477 520__ $$2eng$$aIn this paper, a probabilistic analysis in evaluating critical seismic hazard, which refers to the ground motion with zero exceedance probability, was developed. The essential of the new approach is the use of Monte Carlo Simulation. Demonstrated by a benchmark probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) example, the new approach can estimate the critical seismic hazard that does not exist in PSHA. In addition, the result shows that the ground motions at 0.1% and 1% exceedance probabilities are lower than those by PHSA, especially when a large duration, such as 25 years, is considered. This difference is possibly due to the questionable, unverified relationship used in PSHA for hazard computation. In addition, the hazard curves estimated by the new approach features two sudden changes in exceedance probability, referring to the probability drop and curvature change. The ground motion at the probability drop is associated with a less than 0.01% exceedance probability. Along with the critical motion, they can be used in earthquake resistant design with adequate conservatism.

000004477 540__ $$aText je chráněný podle autorského zákona č. 121/2000 Sb.
000004477 653__ $$aCritical seismic hazard, Monte carlo simulation, Exceedance probability.

000004477 7112_ $$a5th Asian-Pacific Symposium on Structural Reliability and its Applications$$cSingapore (SG)$$d2012-05-23 / 2012-05-25$$gAPSSRA2012
000004477 720__ $$aWang, Jui-Pin$$iXu, Yun$$iLing, Hoe I.
000004477 8560_ $$ffischerc@itam.cas.cz
000004477 8564_ $$s361699$$uhttps://invenio.itam.cas.cz/record/4477/files/P112.pdf$$yOriginal version of the author's contribution as presented on CD, .
000004477 962__ $$r4180
000004477 980__ $$aPAPER