Study of Inhomogeneous Compound Poisson Probabilistic Models for Earthquake Occurrence

Abstract eng:
In accordance with the advantages and disadvantages of the existed probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence and the fundamental principle of earthquake estimation, five types of inhomogeneous compound Poisson Probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence are developed. The essential characteristics and possibly applicable hypothesis of these models are explained. The analytical results of the compound Poison models based on North China earthquake data indicate ‘that inhomogeneous compound Poison models may effectively estimate the non-steady process for earthquake occurrence, but, homogenous Poisson models may not do it.

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